1 00:00:08,470 --> 00:00:06,630 [Music] 2 00:00:11,270 --> 00:00:08,480 welcome to the skeptic zone 3 00:00:16,900 --> 00:00:11,280 the podcast from australia for science 4 00:00:23,429 --> 00:00:16,910 and reason 5 00:00:25,189 --> 00:00:23,439 [Music] 6 00:00:27,990 --> 00:00:25,199 yes it's the skeptic zone podcast 7 00:00:31,269 --> 00:00:28,000 episode number 642 8 00:00:32,950 --> 00:00:31,279 for the 31st of january 2020. richard 9 00:00:34,470 --> 00:00:32,960 saunders coming to you from sydney 10 00:00:36,790 --> 00:00:34,480 australia 11 00:00:40,229 --> 00:00:36,800 january's nearly over we couldn't wait 12 00:00:41,750 --> 00:00:40,239 for 2020 to be over and now january 2021 13 00:00:44,470 --> 00:00:41,760 is nearly over 14 00:00:46,630 --> 00:00:44,480 i guess time sort of goes like that 15 00:00:48,950 --> 00:00:46,640 coming up on this week's episode of the 16 00:00:50,709 --> 00:00:48,960 skeptic zone podcast we're going to look 17 00:00:52,310 --> 00:00:50,719 once more at the great australian 18 00:00:53,990 --> 00:00:52,320 prediction project 19 00:00:55,750 --> 00:00:54,000 now last week we were looking at various 20 00:00:58,069 --> 00:00:55,760 predictions for donald trump 21 00:01:00,229 --> 00:00:58,079 this week we're going to look at various 22 00:01:02,470 --> 00:01:00,239 predictions made by various psychics 23 00:01:05,830 --> 00:01:02,480 mystic seers 24 00:01:08,070 --> 00:01:05,840 and ponderers of the future about queen 25 00:01:10,310 --> 00:01:08,080 elizabeth ii 26 00:01:12,149 --> 00:01:10,320 and whereas there were a couple of 27 00:01:13,750 --> 00:01:12,159 predictions last week 28 00:01:15,190 --> 00:01:13,760 that were made over the last 20 years 29 00:01:18,230 --> 00:01:15,200 that were correct about donald trump 30 00:01:20,710 --> 00:01:18,240 this week we'll see how many predictions 31 00:01:21,990 --> 00:01:20,720 made by our gaggle of mystics were 32 00:01:25,590 --> 00:01:22,000 correct about queen 33 00:01:26,149 --> 00:01:25,600 elizabeth ii and a big shout out to all 34 00:01:28,550 --> 00:01:26,159 my friends 35 00:01:29,910 --> 00:01:28,560 who help me every week on the great 36 00:01:32,710 --> 00:01:29,920 australian prediction 37 00:01:34,469 --> 00:01:32,720 project hookup and following that it's 38 00:01:35,109 --> 00:01:34,479 logical fallacies with the fabulous 39 00:01:38,789 --> 00:01:35,119 michelle 40 00:01:41,830 --> 00:01:38,799 this week 41 00:01:43,590 --> 00:01:41,840 it's the fallacy of composition 42 00:01:44,870 --> 00:01:43,600 this fallacy is about transferring or 43 00:01:47,590 --> 00:01:44,880 projecting the property 44 00:01:49,429 --> 00:01:47,600 shared by a set of individual components 45 00:01:52,710 --> 00:01:49,439 to the whole group or product 46 00:01:53,510 --> 00:01:52,720 as if they were one and the same then we 47 00:01:56,069 --> 00:01:53,520 have the latest 48 00:01:57,910 --> 00:01:56,079 newsletter from the australian skeptics 49 00:02:00,389 --> 00:01:57,920 compiled and written by tim 50 00:02:02,310 --> 00:02:00,399 mendem what's happening this week in the 51 00:02:03,910 --> 00:02:02,320 world of skepticism 52 00:02:05,429 --> 00:02:03,920 and to round off the show we have 53 00:02:09,109 --> 00:02:05,439 another dive 54 00:02:11,589 --> 00:02:09,119 into the trove and our continuing series 55 00:02:12,869 --> 00:02:11,599 about psychic testing testing mediums 56 00:02:16,150 --> 00:02:12,879 that sort of stuff 57 00:02:19,110 --> 00:02:16,160 from 1950 this week 58 00:02:19,990 --> 00:02:19,120 the panel investigates an australian 59 00:02:24,390 --> 00:02:20,000 mystic 60 00:02:27,190 --> 00:02:24,400 i can say kangaroos and koalas 61 00:02:27,670 --> 00:02:27,200 or something like that now before we get 62 00:02:30,470 --> 00:02:27,680 stuck 63 00:02:31,990 --> 00:02:30,480 into the show just getting back to 64 00:02:32,630 --> 00:02:32,000 logical fallacies with michelle 65 00:02:36,710 --> 00:02:32,640 bickersma 66 00:02:40,070 --> 00:02:36,720 in the past week i have put the first 67 00:02:41,430 --> 00:02:40,080 20 logical fallacies of michelle's 68 00:02:45,190 --> 00:02:41,440 logical fallacies into 69 00:02:46,229 --> 00:02:45,200 one file and uploaded that as a youtube 70 00:02:49,990 --> 00:02:46,239 video 71 00:02:51,430 --> 00:02:50,000 there'll be a link in 72 00:02:53,750 --> 00:02:51,440 this week's show notes or you can just 73 00:02:57,190 --> 00:02:53,760 google logical fallacies with michelle 74 00:02:57,990 --> 00:02:57,200 will probably do it uh if you go there 75 00:03:01,030 --> 00:02:58,000 you'll see 76 00:03:02,790 --> 00:03:01,040 that the 20 logical fallacies are listed 77 00:03:05,430 --> 00:03:02,800 right on the youtube video 78 00:03:07,430 --> 00:03:05,440 with time codes and in the description 79 00:03:09,589 --> 00:03:07,440 of the video you can simply click 80 00:03:12,630 --> 00:03:09,599 on the time code in the description and 81 00:03:15,030 --> 00:03:12,640 go automatically to that logical fallacy 82 00:03:17,030 --> 00:03:15,040 and right at the end is the complete 83 00:03:20,070 --> 00:03:17,040 theme music so you can 84 00:03:21,589 --> 00:03:20,080 sit back and listen to that and those 85 00:03:23,589 --> 00:03:21,599 clever listeners out there can 86 00:03:26,550 --> 00:03:23,599 download the whole lot right off youtube 87 00:03:28,229 --> 00:03:26,560 as a as an audio file 88 00:03:30,229 --> 00:03:28,239 and listen to that while i don't know 89 00:03:34,869 --> 00:03:30,239 enjoying a scenic drive 90 00:03:36,550 --> 00:03:34,879 or spending time with friends 91 00:03:37,830 --> 00:03:36,560 and thank you to michelle biggesmar for 92 00:03:38,869 --> 00:03:37,840 all your hard work putting those 93 00:03:41,910 --> 00:03:38,879 together 94 00:03:43,350 --> 00:03:41,920 soon michelle will have completed 40 95 00:03:45,110 --> 00:03:43,360 logical fallacies 96 00:03:47,190 --> 00:03:45,120 and once that's happened i'll put up 97 00:03:50,229 --> 00:03:47,200 another video which will be 98 00:03:51,670 --> 00:03:50,239 logical fallacies 21 to 40. 99 00:03:54,550 --> 00:03:51,680 but that's enough for me at the moment 100 00:03:57,910 --> 00:03:54,560 it's time for me to run downstairs 101 00:03:59,429 --> 00:03:57,920 and i think it's a cheese toasty kind of 102 00:04:02,149 --> 00:03:59,439 day 103 00:04:03,190 --> 00:04:02,159 a little bit of cheese on toast nicely 104 00:04:05,030 --> 00:04:03,200 melted 105 00:04:07,190 --> 00:04:05,040 and being australian of course just a 106 00:04:08,550 --> 00:04:07,200 smear of vegemite on the cheese vegemite 107 00:04:10,309 --> 00:04:08,560 and cheese 108 00:04:11,910 --> 00:04:10,319 is a wonderful combination if you 109 00:04:14,630 --> 00:04:11,920 haven't tried it 110 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:14,640 while i do that i hope you enjoy the 111 00:04:30,650 --> 00:04:34,710 [Music] 112 00:04:38,469 --> 00:04:36,629 on last week's show you may well 113 00:04:41,030 --> 00:04:38,479 remember we looked into the great 114 00:04:44,230 --> 00:04:41,040 australian prediction project for 115 00:04:47,110 --> 00:04:44,240 predictions psychic insights into 116 00:04:47,909 --> 00:04:47,120 donald trump over the last 20 years so 117 00:04:49,510 --> 00:04:47,919 this week i 118 00:04:52,150 --> 00:04:49,520 thought we would look at another head of 119 00:04:53,030 --> 00:04:52,160 state donald trump isn't a head of state 120 00:04:55,430 --> 00:04:53,040 anymore 121 00:04:56,070 --> 00:04:55,440 but somebody who certainly is is queen 122 00:04:58,230 --> 00:04:56,080 elizabeth 123 00:04:59,430 --> 00:04:58,240 ii not only is she head of state of the 124 00:05:02,710 --> 00:04:59,440 united kingdom 125 00:05:05,270 --> 00:05:02,720 she is also head of state of australia 126 00:05:06,310 --> 00:05:05,280 so let's peer into the pages of the 127 00:05:12,950 --> 00:05:06,320 project 128 00:05:15,909 --> 00:05:12,960 and pause to ponder the 129 00:05:17,440 --> 00:05:15,919 predictions for queen elizabeth ii going 130 00:05:22,230 --> 00:05:17,450 back 20 years 131 00:05:24,150 --> 00:05:22,240 [Music] 132 00:05:25,430 --> 00:05:24,160 the first prediction we have here comes 133 00:05:28,390 --> 00:05:25,440 from ann 134 00:05:28,710 --> 00:05:28,400 anne a popular writer for such magazines 135 00:05:30,469 --> 00:05:28,720 as 136 00:05:33,029 --> 00:05:30,479 women's day and that's exactly where 137 00:05:36,390 --> 00:05:33,039 this predictions come from women's day 138 00:05:39,510 --> 00:05:36,400 7th of january 2002 139 00:05:40,629 --> 00:05:39,520 the queen could have a short stay in 140 00:05:43,510 --> 00:05:40,639 hospital 141 00:05:45,749 --> 00:05:43,520 well we've decided words like could are 142 00:05:48,710 --> 00:05:45,759 too wishy-washy so 143 00:05:50,230 --> 00:05:48,720 uh any reasonable person would count 144 00:05:50,950 --> 00:05:50,240 that as a prediction that the queen 145 00:05:53,430 --> 00:05:50,960 would 146 00:05:57,270 --> 00:05:53,440 have a short stay in hospital and no 147 00:05:59,110 --> 00:05:57,280 such incident was reported in 2002 148 00:06:00,390 --> 00:05:59,120 and and again writing in the same 149 00:06:02,710 --> 00:06:00,400 magazine 150 00:06:04,830 --> 00:06:02,720 also she may get into a bit of trouble 151 00:06:08,670 --> 00:06:04,840 by not paying the correct 152 00:06:10,629 --> 00:06:08,680 taxes again no such incident reported in 153 00:06:14,629 --> 00:06:10,639 2002. 154 00:06:17,510 --> 00:06:14,639 in 2004 in the same magazine in women's 155 00:06:18,469 --> 00:06:17,520 day we have somebody going under the 156 00:06:21,990 --> 00:06:18,479 handle of 157 00:06:26,070 --> 00:06:22,000 princess liara whoever 158 00:06:28,150 --> 00:06:26,080 she is or was the queen 159 00:06:29,110 --> 00:06:28,160 growing health problems will surface for 160 00:06:31,510 --> 00:06:29,120 the queen 161 00:06:32,629 --> 00:06:31,520 she's hanging in there but i don't see 162 00:06:35,350 --> 00:06:32,639 her being around 163 00:06:37,430 --> 00:06:35,360 by the end of the year which isn't 164 00:06:38,790 --> 00:06:37,440 surprising in the view of all the stress 165 00:06:41,430 --> 00:06:38,800 she's had to cope with 166 00:06:42,309 --> 00:06:41,440 in recent times problems relating to her 167 00:06:45,110 --> 00:06:42,319 circulation 168 00:06:47,029 --> 00:06:45,120 or heart will worsen resulting in bouts 169 00:06:49,670 --> 00:06:47,039 of hospitalization 170 00:06:51,270 --> 00:06:49,680 well checking the records no major 171 00:06:54,230 --> 00:06:51,280 health concerns for the queen 172 00:06:57,029 --> 00:06:54,240 reported in the year 2004 then we have a 173 00:06:58,790 --> 00:06:57,039 bit of a gap until the year 2010 174 00:07:00,790 --> 00:06:58,800 which means there are still psychic 175 00:07:03,029 --> 00:07:00,800 predictions out there i haven't got 176 00:07:04,550 --> 00:07:03,039 a hold of yet because every year there 177 00:07:05,510 --> 00:07:04,560 are psychic predictions made for the 178 00:07:08,550 --> 00:07:05,520 queen 179 00:07:12,390 --> 00:07:08,560 we have hella alexander in the 180 00:07:15,589 --> 00:07:12,400 international psychics directory 181 00:07:18,230 --> 00:07:15,599 health problems around queen elizabeth 182 00:07:18,629 --> 00:07:18,240 will mean that the subject of succession 183 00:07:22,230 --> 00:07:18,639 can 184 00:07:24,230 --> 00:07:22,240 be no longer ignored she will likely 185 00:07:26,150 --> 00:07:24,240 step down by the end of the year 186 00:07:28,469 --> 00:07:26,160 and hand on the reigns of power due to 187 00:07:31,830 --> 00:07:28,479 health problems the successor will 188 00:07:34,230 --> 00:07:31,840 be in all likelihood prince charles 189 00:07:36,790 --> 00:07:34,240 this may in turn awaken the republican 190 00:07:40,390 --> 00:07:36,800 debate all over again resulting in 191 00:07:40,950 --> 00:07:40,400 our own president here in australia but 192 00:07:44,710 --> 00:07:40,960 no 193 00:07:47,830 --> 00:07:44,720 year 194 00:07:50,469 --> 00:07:47,840 2010 we have simon 195 00:07:51,909 --> 00:07:50,479 turnbull the late simon turnbull who was 196 00:07:53,189 --> 00:07:51,919 the president of the psychics 197 00:07:56,790 --> 00:07:53,199 association 198 00:07:59,430 --> 00:07:56,800 writing in 2010 queen elizabeth 199 00:08:02,070 --> 00:07:59,440 is likely to have some health problems 200 00:08:05,270 --> 00:08:02,080 which will require her to step down 201 00:08:06,070 --> 00:08:05,280 not necessarily kick the bucket simon 202 00:08:08,950 --> 00:08:06,080 predicts 203 00:08:10,710 --> 00:08:08,960 in order to make this changeover occur 204 00:08:12,790 --> 00:08:10,720 charles may take over the reins for a 205 00:08:16,390 --> 00:08:12,800 short period 206 00:08:19,909 --> 00:08:16,400 i think we can detect a theme here 207 00:08:23,110 --> 00:08:19,919 simon turnbull again writing for s t 208 00:08:24,629 --> 00:08:23,120 g gloss magazine in perth makes the same 209 00:08:25,749 --> 00:08:24,639 sort of prediction the queen facing 210 00:08:28,710 --> 00:08:25,759 health problems 211 00:08:30,790 --> 00:08:28,720 she will be unwell or stepped down but 212 00:08:33,110 --> 00:08:30,800 nothing like that's been reported 213 00:08:34,149 --> 00:08:33,120 and now in the year 2012 we have brett 214 00:08:35,670 --> 00:08:34,159 vollis 215 00:08:37,670 --> 00:08:35,680 writing in the international psychics 216 00:08:40,230 --> 00:08:37,680 directory 217 00:08:41,829 --> 00:08:40,240 the queen will become ill late next year 218 00:08:46,230 --> 00:08:41,839 and there will be talk of handing over 219 00:08:49,269 --> 00:08:47,990 we have lauren jeffrey writing in the 220 00:08:52,389 --> 00:08:49,279 weekly times 221 00:08:53,350 --> 00:08:52,399 in january 2012 the queen will hand the 222 00:08:57,590 --> 00:08:53,360 throne over to 223 00:08:59,670 --> 00:08:57,600 william in late 2012. 224 00:09:00,949 --> 00:08:59,680 well apart from the fact that that 225 00:09:04,070 --> 00:09:00,959 didn't happen 226 00:09:07,269 --> 00:09:04,080 it's simply not possible unless 227 00:09:08,870 --> 00:09:07,279 uh prince charles died and 228 00:09:11,190 --> 00:09:08,880 william became next in line to the 229 00:09:12,230 --> 00:09:11,200 throne the queen can't simply hand over 230 00:09:15,269 --> 00:09:12,240 the throne to 231 00:09:17,030 --> 00:09:15,279 whomever she wishes 2014 now simon 232 00:09:18,630 --> 00:09:17,040 turnbull once again in the international 233 00:09:20,630 --> 00:09:18,640 psychics directory 234 00:09:22,310 --> 00:09:20,640 queen elizabeth may well do the 235 00:09:25,269 --> 00:09:22,320 unthinkable and agree to 236 00:09:27,910 --> 00:09:25,279 abdication so her eldest son can stop 237 00:09:33,110 --> 00:09:27,920 growing tomatoes 238 00:09:36,389 --> 00:09:33,120 nope fail again kerry irwin now in 2005 239 00:09:37,990 --> 00:09:36,399 writing on her own blog 240 00:09:40,230 --> 00:09:38,000 health issues for members of the royal 241 00:09:43,190 --> 00:09:40,240 family with camilla and the queen 242 00:09:43,509 --> 00:09:43,200 and prince philip well we've put that in 243 00:09:49,829 --> 00:09:43,519 the 244 00:09:50,870 --> 00:09:49,839 note here people have health issues each 245 00:09:54,230 --> 00:09:50,880 year 246 00:09:57,750 --> 00:09:54,240 a bit vague that one 2006 247 00:10:00,470 --> 00:09:57,760 harry t on the today tv show in june 248 00:10:01,990 --> 00:10:00,480 queen elizabeth ii the question put to 249 00:10:04,389 --> 00:10:02,000 him seems to be do you think that she 250 00:10:07,110 --> 00:10:04,399 will live into her 100s 251 00:10:08,389 --> 00:10:07,120 and his response she has a lot of life 252 00:10:11,590 --> 00:10:08,399 in her 253 00:10:13,269 --> 00:10:11,600 um too vague we've simply categorized 254 00:10:15,110 --> 00:10:13,279 that as too vague 255 00:10:16,710 --> 00:10:15,120 maria campbell writing in the eastern 256 00:10:20,630 --> 00:10:16,720 riverina chronicle 257 00:10:23,829 --> 00:10:20,640 in 2017 january 2017 258 00:10:24,550 --> 00:10:23,839 queen elizabeth ii she also suspects she 259 00:10:27,670 --> 00:10:24,560 knows 260 00:10:28,790 --> 00:10:27,680 what has been ailing the queen lately a 261 00:10:31,670 --> 00:10:28,800 nasty dose of 262 00:10:32,150 --> 00:10:31,680 pneumonia but she expects she has a few 263 00:10:35,430 --> 00:10:32,160 years 264 00:10:38,470 --> 00:10:35,440 left in her and the note we've got here 265 00:10:41,750 --> 00:10:38,480 is we've put that under the expected 266 00:10:43,829 --> 00:10:41,760 column as widely reported that the queen 267 00:10:44,630 --> 00:10:43,839 had a heavy cold or pneumonia so there 268 00:10:48,150 --> 00:10:44,640 you go 269 00:10:52,069 --> 00:10:48,160 now we come to 2018 georgina walker 270 00:10:55,190 --> 00:10:52,079 writing in new idea in january 271 00:10:58,389 --> 00:10:55,200 queen and philip 272 00:10:59,190 --> 00:10:58,399 i see steps and the queen is walking 273 00:11:02,310 --> 00:10:59,200 backwards 274 00:11:04,230 --> 00:11:02,320 symbolically i sense it means she is 275 00:11:06,150 --> 00:11:04,240 backing away stepping down from her 276 00:11:08,870 --> 00:11:06,160 royal duties as monarch 277 00:11:09,829 --> 00:11:08,880 i see a fall that may expedite these 278 00:11:12,470 --> 00:11:09,839 plans 279 00:11:13,590 --> 00:11:12,480 and i see charles rushed in to take 280 00:11:16,069 --> 00:11:13,600 control 281 00:11:17,110 --> 00:11:16,079 i see a black flag flying over the 282 00:11:19,430 --> 00:11:17,120 palace 283 00:11:21,430 --> 00:11:19,440 this is symbolic indicating a passing of 284 00:11:24,069 --> 00:11:21,440 a significant royal 285 00:11:25,350 --> 00:11:24,079 august flashes up as a major time in the 286 00:11:28,550 --> 00:11:25,360 royals future 287 00:11:30,310 --> 00:11:28,560 i hear sandringham will be my home 288 00:11:33,910 --> 00:11:30,320 forever 289 00:11:36,550 --> 00:11:33,920 and again nothing 290 00:11:37,269 --> 00:11:36,560 like that occurred the note we have here 291 00:11:40,470 --> 00:11:37,279 queen 292 00:11:43,750 --> 00:11:40,480 is in good health in 2018 so that's 293 00:11:47,990 --> 00:11:43,760 simply a wrong prediction all round 2019 294 00:11:50,389 --> 00:11:48,000 julie mackenzie on her youtube channel 295 00:11:51,590 --> 00:11:50,399 predicting for the year 2019 queen 296 00:11:54,790 --> 00:11:51,600 elizabeth 297 00:11:57,990 --> 00:11:54,800 queen's christmas speech in 2019 298 00:11:58,389 --> 00:11:58,000 there may be talk about pregnancies well 299 00:12:20,629 --> 00:11:58,399 i 300 00:12:23,269 --> 00:12:20,639 january 2020 301 00:12:24,550 --> 00:12:23,279 the queen continues to revamp the agenda 302 00:12:27,590 --> 00:12:24,560 of the royals 303 00:12:30,069 --> 00:12:27,600 making it more simplified and youthful 304 00:12:31,269 --> 00:12:30,079 charles will be stepping into her shoes 305 00:12:33,430 --> 00:12:31,279 with the view that time is now 306 00:12:36,230 --> 00:12:33,440 approaching for a takeover to secure the 307 00:12:39,269 --> 00:12:36,240 continuing success of the monarchy 308 00:12:42,629 --> 00:12:39,279 well we've got that as a bit 309 00:12:44,710 --> 00:12:42,639 vague but generally it's just expected 310 00:12:46,470 --> 00:12:44,720 but still it's really sort of like a 311 00:12:49,910 --> 00:12:46,480 non-prediction that one 312 00:12:52,310 --> 00:12:49,920 julie mckenzie once again for 313 00:12:54,710 --> 00:12:52,320 predicting for the year 2020 on her 314 00:12:57,030 --> 00:12:54,720 youtube video 315 00:12:57,750 --> 00:12:57,040 ball at buckian palace for everyday 316 00:13:01,430 --> 00:12:57,760 people 317 00:13:03,110 --> 00:13:01,440 queen too unwell to attend now as far as 318 00:13:04,470 --> 00:13:03,120 we could tell the queen has been in good 319 00:13:06,150 --> 00:13:04,480 health 320 00:13:08,470 --> 00:13:06,160 during the whole of 2020 and there was 321 00:13:12,150 --> 00:13:08,480 certainly no ball at buckingham palace 322 00:13:15,190 --> 00:13:12,160 or much else as we all know 323 00:13:19,030 --> 00:13:15,200 julie mackenzie again on the same video 324 00:13:20,790 --> 00:13:19,040 the queen no christmas speech in 2020 325 00:13:23,350 --> 00:13:20,800 well there certainly was a christmas 326 00:13:26,710 --> 00:13:23,360 speech in 2020 from the queen 327 00:13:27,350 --> 00:13:26,720 now the rest of for last year 2020 of 328 00:13:30,550 --> 00:13:27,360 course 329 00:13:32,550 --> 00:13:30,560 lady d danielle i'm not sure who she is 330 00:13:35,269 --> 00:13:32,560 but on her youtube channel 331 00:13:35,829 --> 00:13:35,279 she predicted a shock coming up for the 332 00:13:38,949 --> 00:13:35,839 queen 333 00:13:40,470 --> 00:13:38,959 but she will take it in her stride we 334 00:13:41,030 --> 00:13:40,480 couldn't find anything that really 335 00:13:42,550 --> 00:13:41,040 matched 336 00:13:43,910 --> 00:13:42,560 that there could have been something she 337 00:13:45,430 --> 00:13:43,920 might have seen a mouse in buckingham 338 00:13:47,910 --> 00:13:45,440 palace who knows 339 00:13:50,310 --> 00:13:47,920 another one of the predictions from 340 00:13:52,949 --> 00:13:50,320 danielle says here 341 00:13:55,350 --> 00:13:52,959 the queen relationship that ends for her 342 00:13:57,750 --> 00:13:55,360 in whatever way 343 00:14:00,150 --> 00:13:57,760 well that's pretty vague and open but we 344 00:14:03,590 --> 00:14:00,160 couldn't find anything significant there 345 00:14:07,030 --> 00:14:03,600 and the last one is the queen 346 00:14:08,629 --> 00:14:07,040 trouble with one of her speeches 347 00:14:11,030 --> 00:14:08,639 and the note we've put here in the 348 00:14:21,990 --> 00:14:11,040 column is the queen was praised for her 349 00:14:26,470 --> 00:14:25,030 so there we have 21 predictions about 350 00:14:30,230 --> 00:14:26,480 queen elizabeth ii 351 00:14:31,350 --> 00:14:30,240 made over the past 20 years by various 352 00:14:35,030 --> 00:14:31,360 sears mystic 353 00:14:37,590 --> 00:14:35,040 psychics clairvoyance um 354 00:14:39,430 --> 00:14:37,600 mediums whatever you want to call them 355 00:14:45,110 --> 00:14:39,440 fortune tellers 356 00:14:49,750 --> 00:14:45,120 with the result not one of them not one 357 00:14:53,030 --> 00:14:49,760 was correct and most were wrong 358 00:14:56,790 --> 00:14:53,040 with a few remaining which were expected 359 00:14:58,310 --> 00:14:56,800 or simply too vague and it's interesting 360 00:14:59,990 --> 00:14:58,320 to note if we do another search on the 361 00:15:02,870 --> 00:15:00,000 database for 362 00:15:04,389 --> 00:15:02,880 uh the royal family and death for 363 00:15:07,189 --> 00:15:04,399 example 364 00:15:09,110 --> 00:15:07,199 it's about every second here someone 365 00:15:10,069 --> 00:15:09,120 predicts the death of a significant 366 00:15:12,310 --> 00:15:10,079 royal prince philip 367 00:15:13,910 --> 00:15:12,320 the queen prince charles something like 368 00:15:16,150 --> 00:15:13,920 that 369 00:15:18,230 --> 00:15:16,160 and one day when these predictions come 370 00:15:19,990 --> 00:15:18,240 true they'll say look i predicted that 371 00:15:21,829 --> 00:15:20,000 and for those of you keeping score at 372 00:15:26,550 --> 00:15:21,839 home currently 373 00:15:27,910 --> 00:15:26,560 the database contains 3214 374 00:15:29,829 --> 00:15:27,920 because every now and then we keep 375 00:15:30,470 --> 00:15:29,839 adding some when we find some new ones 376 00:15:32,150 --> 00:15:30,480 or 377 00:15:33,910 --> 00:15:32,160 discover that a prediction in the 378 00:15:35,110 --> 00:15:33,920 database can be split up into several 379 00:15:40,389 --> 00:15:35,120 predictions 380 00:15:57,829 --> 00:15:40,399 and the team have at the moment 677 381 00:16:01,509 --> 00:16:00,150 hey fellow skeptics ben radford here 382 00:16:02,949 --> 00:16:01,519 with celestia ward 383 00:16:05,350 --> 00:16:02,959 your friendly host of squaring the 384 00:16:06,629 --> 00:16:05,360 strange a podcast that looks at topics 385 00:16:09,749 --> 00:16:06,639 ranging from legends 386 00:16:10,389 --> 00:16:09,759 panics and cryptids psychology and 387 00:16:12,230 --> 00:16:10,399 folklore 388 00:16:14,069 --> 00:16:12,240 breaking things down and picking things 389 00:16:16,069 --> 00:16:14,079 apart as we skeptics do 390 00:16:18,470 --> 00:16:16,079 we bring a few different perspectives on 391 00:16:19,350 --> 00:16:18,480 things celestia for example is a witty 392 00:16:21,110 --> 00:16:19,360 cartoonist 393 00:16:22,790 --> 00:16:21,120 and ben is a brilliant writer and long 394 00:16:24,710 --> 00:16:22,800 time skeptical investigator 395 00:16:26,790 --> 00:16:24,720 we don't always agree but we have fun 396 00:16:29,269 --> 00:16:26,800 trying and we learn new things 397 00:16:31,350 --> 00:16:29,279 join us for new topics every week or two 398 00:16:32,150 --> 00:16:31,360 or browse our backlog of evergreen 399 00:16:35,189 --> 00:16:32,160 episodes 400 00:16:37,509 --> 00:16:35,199 available on itunes and all your podcast 401 00:16:43,330 --> 00:16:37,519 feeding troughs squaring the strange 402 00:16:50,060 --> 00:16:48,829 [Music] 403 00:17:05,510 --> 00:16:50,070 bye-bye 404 00:17:07,079 --> 00:17:05,520 [Music] 405 00:17:10,549 --> 00:17:07,089 logical fallacies 406 00:17:13,429 --> 00:17:10,559 [Music] 407 00:17:15,270 --> 00:17:13,439 what are logical fallacies and why is it 408 00:17:19,590 --> 00:17:15,280 important that critical thinkers should 409 00:17:22,309 --> 00:17:19,600 know about them a logical fallacy is an 410 00:17:24,470 --> 00:17:22,319 error we can make in reasoning but it 411 00:17:28,230 --> 00:17:24,480 usually crops up when we are discussing 412 00:17:32,630 --> 00:17:30,310 some people might even knowingly use 413 00:17:36,789 --> 00:17:32,640 them to try and score cheap points in an 414 00:17:39,270 --> 00:17:36,799 argument due to intellectual laziness 415 00:17:41,110 --> 00:17:39,280 they are traps we can fall into but if 416 00:17:43,270 --> 00:17:41,120 we know what to look out for 417 00:17:46,810 --> 00:17:43,280 we can spot them when they occur and 418 00:17:47,990 --> 00:17:46,820 stop ourselves from using them 419 00:17:50,630 --> 00:17:48,000 [Music] 420 00:17:52,310 --> 00:17:50,640 this time we'll look at the fallacy of 421 00:17:55,190 --> 00:17:52,320 composition 422 00:17:57,510 --> 00:17:55,200 this fallacy is about transferring or 423 00:17:59,510 --> 00:17:57,520 projecting the properties shared by a 424 00:18:03,029 --> 00:17:59,520 set of individual components 425 00:18:03,750 --> 00:18:03,039 to the whole group or product as if they 426 00:18:07,029 --> 00:18:03,760 were one 427 00:18:09,510 --> 00:18:07,039 and the same the fallacy of composition 428 00:18:12,789 --> 00:18:09,520 can appear to be quite similar to the 429 00:18:15,710 --> 00:18:12,799 fallacy of hasty generalization 430 00:18:17,110 --> 00:18:15,720 however the latter usually means 431 00:18:20,549 --> 00:18:17,120 extrapolating from 432 00:18:23,110 --> 00:18:20,559 only a small or anomalous sample 433 00:18:24,470 --> 00:18:23,120 to a larger one and drawing the wrong 434 00:18:27,669 --> 00:18:24,480 conclusion 435 00:18:30,150 --> 00:18:27,679 based on insufficient evidence it's 436 00:18:30,950 --> 00:18:30,160 also the opposite of the fallacy of 437 00:18:33,590 --> 00:18:30,960 division 438 00:18:34,310 --> 00:18:33,600 which assumes that what is true for the 439 00:18:37,430 --> 00:18:34,320 whole 440 00:18:38,710 --> 00:18:37,440 is also true for some or all of its 441 00:18:41,029 --> 00:18:38,720 parts 442 00:18:42,630 --> 00:18:41,039 i don't believe humans have caused 443 00:18:45,590 --> 00:18:42,640 global warming 444 00:18:46,549 --> 00:18:45,600 those so-called climate scientists 445 00:18:49,430 --> 00:18:46,559 commit the 446 00:18:50,310 --> 00:18:49,440 composition fallacy in their research 447 00:18:53,029 --> 00:18:50,320 they 448 00:18:53,750 --> 00:18:53,039 aggregate temperature anomalies from 449 00:18:56,070 --> 00:18:53,760 specific 450 00:18:57,590 --> 00:18:56,080 regions then apply that to the whole 451 00:18:59,669 --> 00:18:57,600 planet to say 452 00:19:01,510 --> 00:18:59,679 that it's warming you have to look at 453 00:19:04,950 --> 00:19:01,520 each individual region 454 00:19:07,830 --> 00:19:04,960 separately if climate change scientists 455 00:19:11,029 --> 00:19:07,840 simply aggregated regional temperature 456 00:19:13,750 --> 00:19:11,039 anomalies and called it global warming 457 00:19:16,710 --> 00:19:13,760 it might be arguable that they are 458 00:19:20,150 --> 00:19:16,720 committing the composition fallacy 459 00:19:22,230 --> 00:19:20,160 however it is valid to extrapolate in 460 00:19:26,470 --> 00:19:22,240 this way in some cases 461 00:19:27,029 --> 00:19:26,480 and not in others the difficulty lies in 462 00:19:30,230 --> 00:19:27,039 knowing 463 00:19:32,070 --> 00:19:30,240 which side is correct in any given 464 00:19:34,549 --> 00:19:32,080 scenario 465 00:19:35,270 --> 00:19:34,559 in this case aside from charting 466 00:19:37,909 --> 00:19:35,280 averages 467 00:19:40,390 --> 00:19:37,919 and highlighting general trends 468 00:19:42,390 --> 00:19:40,400 additional supporting evidence for the 469 00:19:45,590 --> 00:19:42,400 theory of global warming 470 00:19:46,630 --> 00:19:45,600 comes into play and temperature data is 471 00:19:49,110 --> 00:19:46,640 consistent 472 00:19:50,470 --> 00:19:49,120 with the data from multiple lines of 473 00:19:53,750 --> 00:19:50,480 inquiry 474 00:19:54,549 --> 00:19:53,760 including the warming oceans melting ice 475 00:19:57,669 --> 00:19:54,559 sheets 476 00:19:59,110 --> 00:19:57,679 and retreating glaciers just to name a 477 00:20:01,669 --> 00:19:59,120 few 478 00:20:02,310 --> 00:20:01,679 one of the reasons i believe that a 479 00:20:05,590 --> 00:20:02,320 higher 480 00:20:06,390 --> 00:20:05,600 power exists is because like many other 481 00:20:10,070 --> 00:20:06,400 people 482 00:20:12,950 --> 00:20:10,080 i feel a sense of purpose for being here 483 00:20:14,149 --> 00:20:12,960 this must also mean that human beings 484 00:20:17,750 --> 00:20:14,159 are placed here 485 00:20:18,230 --> 00:20:17,760 on earth for a purpose this is a fallacy 486 00:20:21,350 --> 00:20:18,240 that we 487 00:20:23,990 --> 00:20:21,360 sometimes see coming from theists 488 00:20:25,110 --> 00:20:24,000 it's true that people often feel a sense 489 00:20:28,950 --> 00:20:25,120 of purpose 490 00:20:32,070 --> 00:20:28,960 or have pet causes however 491 00:20:35,669 --> 00:20:32,080 just because any number of individuals 492 00:20:38,390 --> 00:20:35,679 may feel a sense of purpose this notion 493 00:20:39,110 --> 00:20:38,400 cannot be transferred to humanity as a 494 00:20:41,830 --> 00:20:39,120 whole 495 00:20:44,870 --> 00:20:41,840 to argue that we have some kind of 496 00:20:47,270 --> 00:20:44,880 collective purpose for being here 497 00:20:47,990 --> 00:20:47,280 i've been doing some research online and 498 00:20:50,950 --> 00:20:48,000 have decided 499 00:20:52,470 --> 00:20:50,960 to give up eating foods that have names 500 00:20:56,310 --> 00:20:52,480 i can't pronounce 501 00:20:59,350 --> 00:20:56,320 and i'm also going to avoid chemicals 502 00:21:01,110 --> 00:20:59,360 first to go is salt did you know it 503 00:21:04,390 --> 00:21:01,120 contains chlorine 504 00:21:07,270 --> 00:21:04,400 that's toxic to humans it's certainly 505 00:21:08,070 --> 00:21:07,280 true that sodium and chlorine are 506 00:21:10,789 --> 00:21:08,080 harmful to 507 00:21:12,470 --> 00:21:10,799 humans at certain levels when ingested 508 00:21:15,190 --> 00:21:12,480 separately 509 00:21:15,990 --> 00:21:15,200 however the chemical reaction that 510 00:21:19,190 --> 00:21:16,000 occurs when they 511 00:21:19,510 --> 00:21:19,200 are combined creates table salt which is 512 00:21:23,510 --> 00:21:19,520 not 513 00:21:25,510 --> 00:21:23,520 toxic and something we eat every day 514 00:21:27,750 --> 00:21:25,520 simply considering the properties of 515 00:21:30,710 --> 00:21:27,760 individual chemical components 516 00:21:31,830 --> 00:21:30,720 does not mean that identical properties 517 00:21:35,350 --> 00:21:31,840 apply to the whole 518 00:21:36,630 --> 00:21:35,360 product western medical practitioners 519 00:21:39,110 --> 00:21:36,640 are so reductionist 520 00:21:39,909 --> 00:21:39,120 i'm going to see a naturopath who will 521 00:21:43,270 --> 00:21:39,919 treat me 522 00:21:44,470 --> 00:21:43,280 as a whole person not just focus on my 523 00:21:46,310 --> 00:21:44,480 liver disease 524 00:21:48,789 --> 00:21:46,320 organs in the body don't function in 525 00:21:50,549 --> 00:21:48,799 isolation they are part of a system that 526 00:21:54,230 --> 00:21:50,559 includes the mind 527 00:21:57,350 --> 00:21:54,240 body and spirit diseases do 528 00:21:59,750 --> 00:21:57,360 not necessarily occur in isolation 529 00:22:01,350 --> 00:21:59,760 and the majority of doctors are going to 530 00:22:04,230 --> 00:22:01,360 look at lifestyle and 531 00:22:07,029 --> 00:22:04,240 other factors that may contribute to an 532 00:22:09,750 --> 00:22:07,039 illness or chronic condition 533 00:22:10,710 --> 00:22:09,760 however practitioners of western 534 00:22:13,029 --> 00:22:10,720 medicine 535 00:22:14,549 --> 00:22:13,039 do not transfer the properties of a 536 00:22:17,590 --> 00:22:14,559 disease in a specific 537 00:22:19,990 --> 00:22:17,600 organ to the body as a whole as if they 538 00:22:22,310 --> 00:22:20,000 were essentially the same thing 539 00:22:29,190 --> 00:22:22,320 as in the case of the systems approach 540 00:22:32,789 --> 00:22:31,750 the fallacy of composition occurs when 541 00:22:35,510 --> 00:22:32,799 we believe 542 00:22:37,909 --> 00:22:35,520 that what is true for individual parts 543 00:22:41,110 --> 00:22:37,919 is true for the whole 544 00:22:43,270 --> 00:22:41,120 think of it this way sometimes 545 00:22:44,549 --> 00:22:43,280 what is good for the individual is good 546 00:22:48,390 --> 00:22:44,559 for the group 547 00:22:51,190 --> 00:22:48,400 but at other times it is not 548 00:22:52,310 --> 00:22:51,200 therefore we have to be careful about 549 00:22:55,750 --> 00:22:52,320 determining 550 00:22:56,710 --> 00:22:55,760 when this is fallacious thinking or when 551 00:22:59,029 --> 00:22:56,720 it is true 552 00:23:00,880 --> 00:22:59,039 and may need to seek other kinds of 553 00:23:05,909 --> 00:23:00,890 evidence to support our position 554 00:23:07,990 --> 00:23:05,919 [Music] 555 00:23:08,950 --> 00:23:08,000 knowing a logical fallacy when you hear 556 00:23:11,669 --> 00:23:08,960 one and 557 00:23:14,230 --> 00:23:11,679 even knowing its name is important when 558 00:23:17,590 --> 00:23:14,240 arguing your point of view 559 00:23:20,070 --> 00:23:17,600 however you may come across as arrogant 560 00:23:20,789 --> 00:23:20,080 and not get very far if you call it out 561 00:23:23,190 --> 00:23:20,799 by name 562 00:23:25,270 --> 00:23:23,200 to your opponent when you hear it being 563 00:23:27,750 --> 00:23:25,280 used 564 00:23:28,630 --> 00:23:27,760 if your opponent calls you out for using 565 00:23:30,870 --> 00:23:28,640 one 566 00:23:33,909 --> 00:23:30,880 it's time to stop and think about how 567 00:23:35,990 --> 00:23:33,919 you are making your case 568 00:23:37,190 --> 00:23:36,000 use your knowledge of logical fallacies 569 00:23:39,990 --> 00:23:37,200 wisely 570 00:23:41,190 --> 00:23:40,000 and remember that even if your point of 571 00:23:43,510 --> 00:23:41,200 view is right 572 00:23:44,870 --> 00:23:43,520 and you know all the pitfalls in arguing 573 00:23:47,350 --> 00:23:44,880 your case 574 00:23:48,470 --> 00:23:47,360 it doesn't always mean you'll win on the 575 00:23:51,750 --> 00:23:48,480 day 576 00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:51,760 and as skeptics we must also remember 577 00:23:57,350 --> 00:23:54,330 that we too can be wrong at times 578 00:23:59,110 --> 00:23:57,360 [Music] 579 00:24:09,370 --> 00:23:59,120 i'm michelle bickersma from the vic 580 00:24:09,380 --> 00:24:14,230 [Music] 581 00:24:17,990 --> 00:24:17,750 drinking hey drinks hey so nice to be 582 00:24:20,149 --> 00:24:18,000 back 583 00:24:21,350 --> 00:24:20,159 at skeptics in the pub yes richard it's 584 00:24:23,269 --> 00:24:21,360 great that covert 19 585 00:24:25,350 --> 00:24:23,279 is a thing of the past and we can gather 586 00:24:26,870 --> 00:24:25,360 together and not wear masks although 587 00:24:28,630 --> 00:24:26,880 i will occasionally you know like you 588 00:24:31,830 --> 00:24:28,640 know in special situations you know 589 00:24:33,190 --> 00:24:31,840 what i mean this this beer tastes better 590 00:24:36,310 --> 00:24:33,200 than i remember 591 00:24:37,190 --> 00:24:36,320 and this beer glass is much bigger than 592 00:24:39,909 --> 00:24:37,200 i remember 593 00:24:40,470 --> 00:24:39,919 hmm oh thanks for this i'll get the next 594 00:24:43,110 --> 00:24:40,480 round 595 00:24:44,549 --> 00:24:43,120 ah no need all the beer is free tonight 596 00:24:46,310 --> 00:24:44,559 free 597 00:24:47,909 --> 00:24:46,320 wow did you hear that all the 598 00:24:49,190 --> 00:24:47,919 anti-vaxxers and flat earthers have 599 00:24:52,789 --> 00:24:49,200 changed their minds 600 00:24:54,390 --> 00:24:52,799 what really yeah yeah they're now busy 601 00:24:54,950 --> 00:24:54,400 writing apology letters to the whole 602 00:24:56,310 --> 00:24:54,960 world 603 00:24:57,590 --> 00:24:56,320 they're really busy they're gonna have 604 00:24:58,070 --> 00:24:57,600 to sharpen their pencil if you know what 605 00:25:01,269 --> 00:24:58,080 i mean 606 00:25:01,510 --> 00:25:01,279 ah look it's lara coming over here with 607 00:25:22,710 --> 00:25:01,520 a 608 00:25:25,430 --> 00:25:22,720 vouchers for uber rides home 609 00:25:26,710 --> 00:25:25,440 wow hang on this seems too good to be 610 00:25:28,310 --> 00:25:26,720 true who's the guest speaker it's not 611 00:25:31,510 --> 00:25:28,320 bloody brian dunning is it 612 00:25:34,870 --> 00:25:31,520 let me see uh this 613 00:25:37,510 --> 00:25:34,880 is odd it says here it's the skeptical 614 00:25:38,789 --> 00:25:37,520 fairy godmother angel from the internet 615 00:25:42,070 --> 00:25:38,799 the skeptical 616 00:25:51,990 --> 00:25:42,080 godmother fairy in you know 617 00:25:56,070 --> 00:25:54,630 hello everyone who are you like you're 618 00:25:58,310 --> 00:25:56,080 only 10 centimeters tall 619 00:25:59,430 --> 00:25:58,320 that's about four inches for those of 620 00:26:02,149 --> 00:25:59,440 you using the 621 00:26:02,710 --> 00:26:02,159 darth vader imperial system and floating 622 00:26:06,070 --> 00:26:02,720 in the air 623 00:26:06,950 --> 00:26:06,080 that can't be right as lara said i'm the 624 00:26:09,990 --> 00:26:06,960 skeptical 625 00:26:12,390 --> 00:26:10,000 fairy godmother angel from the internet 626 00:26:13,990 --> 00:26:12,400 you asked a silly question and you're 627 00:26:17,669 --> 00:26:14,000 tonight's guest speaker 628 00:26:18,230 --> 00:26:17,679 well not really i have come to tell you 629 00:26:23,110 --> 00:26:18,240 that 630 00:26:28,390 --> 00:26:25,590 i thought this was too good to be true i 631 00:26:30,310 --> 00:26:28,400 know we can't meet in pubs at the moment 632 00:26:33,430 --> 00:26:30,320 but that shouldn't stop you from 633 00:26:36,470 --> 00:26:33,440 enjoying skeptical talks online 634 00:26:39,590 --> 00:26:36,480 the fixed skeptics have skeptics cafe 635 00:26:40,789 --> 00:26:39,600 each month sydney has skeptics in the 636 00:26:43,269 --> 00:26:40,799 pub 637 00:26:44,149 --> 00:26:43,279 there are online events from the gold 638 00:26:47,590 --> 00:26:44,159 coast and 639 00:26:51,350 --> 00:26:47,600 yes yes this all sounds eerily 640 00:26:55,510 --> 00:26:51,360 familiar have we met before somewhere 641 00:26:56,230 --> 00:26:55,520 maybe we have maybe it was as we watched 642 00:26:59,430 --> 00:26:56,240 a live 643 00:27:00,070 --> 00:26:59,440 and interactive skeptical talk all you 644 00:27:03,029 --> 00:27:00,080 need do 645 00:27:04,549 --> 00:27:03,039 is search for them online no matter 646 00:27:06,149 --> 00:27:04,559 where you are in the world 647 00:27:08,070 --> 00:27:06,159 she's right i've been watching skeptical 648 00:27:09,750 --> 00:27:08,080 talks from the uk the u.s 649 00:27:11,269 --> 00:27:09,760 and even one from my own living room 650 00:27:12,789 --> 00:27:11,279 although that one wasn't very 651 00:27:13,350 --> 00:27:12,799 interesting i fell asleep and i was the 652 00:27:16,390 --> 00:27:13,360 speaker 653 00:27:20,230 --> 00:27:16,400 hang on hang on weren't you once 654 00:27:24,149 --> 00:27:20,240 the tooth i'll fairy 655 00:27:28,950 --> 00:27:24,159 leave that down one last question 656 00:27:37,669 --> 00:27:28,960 yes just whose dream is this 657 00:27:41,269 --> 00:27:40,389 she disappeared but um we're still here 658 00:27:45,510 --> 00:27:41,279 huh 659 00:27:47,830 --> 00:27:45,520 right so um 660 00:27:49,350 --> 00:27:47,840 lobster and chips anyone oh yeah he only 661 00:28:02,730 --> 00:27:49,360 pays for food and drinks in the dream 662 00:28:11,590 --> 00:28:02,740 let me tell you people 663 00:28:13,190 --> 00:28:11,600 [Music] 664 00:28:15,669 --> 00:28:13,200 now it's time to once again have a look 665 00:28:18,669 --> 00:28:15,679 at the australian skeptics newsletter 666 00:28:20,630 --> 00:28:18,679 delivered to my inbox newsletter number 667 00:28:23,750 --> 00:28:20,640 115 668 00:28:26,950 --> 00:28:23,760 hi all a mixed bag today 669 00:28:29,029 --> 00:28:26,960 with perennials paleo pete and 670 00:28:31,350 --> 00:28:29,039 royals popping up alongside the 671 00:28:32,950 --> 00:28:31,360 seriously good news from britain about 672 00:28:35,669 --> 00:28:32,960 the suspension 673 00:28:37,110 --> 00:28:35,679 of accreditation for the uk society of 674 00:28:39,990 --> 00:28:37,120 homeopaths 675 00:28:41,990 --> 00:28:40,000 likewise we're still in the quiet zone 676 00:28:43,269 --> 00:28:42,000 until of course one of the other covert 677 00:28:45,590 --> 00:28:43,279 vaccines starts 678 00:28:47,590 --> 00:28:45,600 being given out here in australia then 679 00:28:49,990 --> 00:28:47,600 we can expect a fun time 680 00:28:51,990 --> 00:28:50,000 meanwhile congratulations to queensland 681 00:28:55,190 --> 00:28:52,000 skeptic store watch sheryl backhouse 682 00:28:55,990 --> 00:28:55,200 who has been awarded an o-a-m in today's 683 00:28:58,549 --> 00:28:56,000 australia 684 00:29:00,549 --> 00:28:58,559 day honours cheryl is also a life member 685 00:29:03,269 --> 00:29:00,559 of australian skeptics 686 00:29:04,549 --> 00:29:03,279 read on and this of course is compiled 687 00:29:08,710 --> 00:29:04,559 and written by 688 00:29:10,470 --> 00:29:08,720 tim mendem uk professional standards 689 00:29:11,350 --> 00:29:10,480 authority suspends the society of 690 00:29:13,029 --> 00:29:11,360 homeopaths 691 00:29:15,350 --> 00:29:13,039 and of course skeptic's own listeners 692 00:29:17,990 --> 00:29:15,360 will remember we covered this story 693 00:29:19,669 --> 00:29:18,000 just in the last couple of weeks a very 694 00:29:22,230 --> 00:29:19,679 good news story indeed 695 00:29:24,310 --> 00:29:22,240 the next story is pete evans goes 696 00:29:27,510 --> 00:29:24,320 political 697 00:29:28,710 --> 00:29:27,520 celebrity chef celebrity chef former 698 00:29:31,190 --> 00:29:28,720 celebrity chef 699 00:29:32,230 --> 00:29:31,200 former celebrity somebody who used to be 700 00:29:34,630 --> 00:29:32,240 on tv 701 00:29:35,990 --> 00:29:34,640 and conspiracy theorist pete evans i 702 00:29:37,190 --> 00:29:36,000 added all those other bits by the way 703 00:29:39,590 --> 00:29:37,200 not tim menden 704 00:29:40,470 --> 00:29:39,600 has turned to one of his few remaining 705 00:29:44,789 --> 00:29:40,480 social 706 00:29:47,909 --> 00:29:44,799 media channels to hint at his next move 707 00:29:49,510 --> 00:29:47,919 politics quote stay tuned for an 708 00:29:52,549 --> 00:29:49,520 announcement next week and quote 709 00:29:53,350 --> 00:29:52,559 evans wrote two weeks ago on an 710 00:29:56,230 --> 00:29:53,360 instagram 711 00:29:57,990 --> 00:29:56,240 post under the logo of the relatively 712 00:30:01,269 --> 00:29:58,000 new and little known 713 00:30:03,830 --> 00:30:01,279 great australian party 714 00:30:04,549 --> 00:30:03,840 he gave the party a push on his podcast 715 00:30:06,830 --> 00:30:04,559 last year 716 00:30:08,870 --> 00:30:06,840 but we're still waiting for the big 717 00:30:11,430 --> 00:30:08,880 announcement 718 00:30:12,710 --> 00:30:11,440 great australian party sounds a little 719 00:30:15,029 --> 00:30:12,720 bit like make america 720 00:30:16,950 --> 00:30:15,039 great again doesn't it and speaking of 721 00:30:17,750 --> 00:30:16,960 making america great again the next item 722 00:30:19,830 --> 00:30:17,760 here is 723 00:30:21,190 --> 00:30:19,840 connection between wellness influencers 724 00:30:24,310 --> 00:30:21,200 and pro-trump 725 00:30:27,549 --> 00:30:24,320 rioters a research fellow at the 726 00:30:31,029 --> 00:30:27,559 international center for the study of 727 00:30:33,830 --> 00:30:31,039 radicalization at king's college london 728 00:30:34,549 --> 00:30:33,840 has pointed out that many social media 729 00:30:37,430 --> 00:30:34,559 wellness 730 00:30:38,389 --> 00:30:37,440 influences were seduced into the dark 731 00:30:41,669 --> 00:30:38,399 side 732 00:30:44,470 --> 00:30:41,679 by organized conspiracy sites 733 00:30:46,549 --> 00:30:44,480 hmm it says here the pandemic gives 734 00:30:47,190 --> 00:30:46,559 people a reason to want to doubt the 735 00:30:52,630 --> 00:30:47,200 truth 736 00:30:53,669 --> 00:30:52,640 the wellness community in particular was 737 00:30:57,029 --> 00:30:53,679 full of 738 00:30:59,750 --> 00:30:57,039 trusted guides who championed doing your 739 00:31:01,590 --> 00:30:59,760 own research and questioning health 740 00:31:03,029 --> 00:31:01,600 information from official sources like 741 00:31:05,269 --> 00:31:03,039 the government 742 00:31:08,669 --> 00:31:05,279 and don't forget that when you receive 743 00:31:12,789 --> 00:31:10,149 www.skeptics.com 744 00:31:14,789 --> 00:31:12,799 each of these stories is accompanied by 745 00:31:17,750 --> 00:31:14,799 the link to more information 746 00:31:19,029 --> 00:31:17,760 the next story says scientific study on 747 00:31:22,870 --> 00:31:19,039 hearing 748 00:31:24,789 --> 00:31:22,880 the dead you have to listen very closely 749 00:31:25,909 --> 00:31:24,799 we have some concerns with a recent 750 00:31:28,950 --> 00:31:25,919 study that finds that 751 00:31:29,750 --> 00:31:28,960 spiritualist mediums might be more prone 752 00:31:32,950 --> 00:31:29,760 to 753 00:31:33,750 --> 00:31:32,960 immersive mental activities and unusual 754 00:31:36,710 --> 00:31:33,760 auditory 755 00:31:38,149 --> 00:31:36,720 experiences early in life according to 756 00:31:40,549 --> 00:31:38,159 new research led by 757 00:31:42,389 --> 00:31:40,559 durham university in the uk this might 758 00:31:44,630 --> 00:31:42,399 explain why some people 759 00:31:46,950 --> 00:31:44,640 and not others eventually adopt 760 00:31:48,070 --> 00:31:46,960 spiritualist beliefs and engaged in the 761 00:31:50,950 --> 00:31:48,080 practice of 762 00:31:51,830 --> 00:31:50,960 hearing the dead our concern is that the 763 00:31:55,110 --> 00:31:51,840 study almost 764 00:31:57,509 --> 00:31:55,120 implies that it's a cause and effect 765 00:31:59,430 --> 00:31:57,519 and doesn't seem to doubt the underlying 766 00:32:00,470 --> 00:31:59,440 practice of spiritualism and hearing 767 00:32:02,870 --> 00:32:00,480 voices 768 00:32:04,789 --> 00:32:02,880 it might just be that people who are 769 00:32:07,190 --> 00:32:04,799 inclined towards spiritualist practices 770 00:32:09,269 --> 00:32:07,200 are also prone to hearing voices rather 771 00:32:12,149 --> 00:32:09,279 than one leading to the other 772 00:32:14,870 --> 00:32:12,159 a psychological or social studies issue 773 00:32:16,549 --> 00:32:14,880 rather than a medical one 774 00:32:17,990 --> 00:32:16,559 and the next item says one million 775 00:32:20,950 --> 00:32:18,000 dollars for evidence of 776 00:32:22,070 --> 00:32:20,960 life after death here's an opportunity 777 00:32:25,110 --> 00:32:22,080 for you 778 00:32:27,350 --> 00:32:25,120 robert biglow a las vegas real estate 779 00:32:29,990 --> 00:32:27,360 and aerospace mogul 780 00:32:31,750 --> 00:32:30,000 quote with billionaire allure and the 781 00:32:34,789 --> 00:32:31,760 resources to fund his 782 00:32:36,310 --> 00:32:34,799 restless curiosity embracing outer and 783 00:32:39,350 --> 00:32:36,320 inner space ufos 784 00:32:41,430 --> 00:32:39,360 and the spirit realm end quote 785 00:32:42,389 --> 00:32:41,440 is offering nearly one million dollars 786 00:32:45,269 --> 00:32:42,399 in prizes 787 00:32:47,190 --> 00:32:45,279 for three essays that quote summarize 788 00:32:49,269 --> 00:32:47,200 the best evidence available for the 789 00:32:53,110 --> 00:32:49,279 survival of human consciousness 790 00:32:56,310 --> 00:32:53,120 after permanent bodily death end quote 791 00:32:59,029 --> 00:32:56,320 good luck mate and there are more items 792 00:33:01,669 --> 00:32:59,039 to read here but i'll let you subscribe 793 00:33:03,269 --> 00:33:01,679 and read those for yourself there's a 794 00:33:05,909 --> 00:33:03,279 quick little plug here for the 795 00:33:09,110 --> 00:33:05,919 uh december 2020 issue of the skeptic 796 00:33:11,430 --> 00:33:09,120 magazine which we've covered before 797 00:33:13,110 --> 00:33:11,440 and of course to which you should 798 00:33:15,909 --> 00:33:13,120 subscribe 799 00:33:16,789 --> 00:33:15,919 and finally we have items of interest 800 00:33:19,029 --> 00:33:16,799 travel tip 801 00:33:20,630 --> 00:33:19,039 ireland's new tourism promo come to 802 00:33:22,870 --> 00:33:20,640 earth 803 00:33:24,990 --> 00:33:22,880 island seems to be a popular destination 804 00:33:28,310 --> 00:33:25,000 for 805 00:33:31,110 --> 00:33:28,320 extraterrestrials as data shows it 806 00:33:31,750 --> 00:33:31,120 is the european countries with the most 807 00:33:35,350 --> 00:33:31,760 alien 808 00:33:37,909 --> 00:33:35,360 visits ireland okay 809 00:33:38,630 --> 00:33:37,919 psychic world reports that there have 810 00:33:42,470 --> 00:33:38,640 been 811 00:33:45,509 --> 00:33:42,480 105 recorded ufo sightings in ireland 812 00:33:46,070 --> 00:33:45,519 with each visit lasting an average of 13 813 00:33:49,110 --> 00:33:46,080 minutes 814 00:33:51,430 --> 00:33:49,120 that's not very long the majority of 815 00:33:52,470 --> 00:33:51,440 sightings in ireland have been described 816 00:33:55,590 --> 00:33:52,480 as 817 00:33:57,350 --> 00:33:55,600 unexplainable bright lights france and 818 00:33:59,350 --> 00:33:57,360 spain come in second and third 819 00:34:01,590 --> 00:33:59,360 respectively 820 00:34:04,050 --> 00:34:01,600 and there's another one here to round 821 00:34:05,269 --> 00:34:04,060 off alt med destroys cars 822 00:34:08,230 --> 00:34:05,279 [Music] 823 00:34:09,470 --> 00:34:08,240 a fire that severely damaged seven cars 824 00:34:12,950 --> 00:34:09,480 and caused 825 00:34:16,550 --> 00:34:12,960 125 000 worth of damage in west 826 00:34:19,510 --> 00:34:16,560 australia's midwest has been blamed on 827 00:34:20,230 --> 00:34:19,520 an aromatherapy device in one of the 828 00:34:23,510 --> 00:34:20,240 vehicles 829 00:34:25,510 --> 00:34:23,520 see we told you altmed was dangerous 830 00:34:26,869 --> 00:34:25,520 lots more to read in the australian 831 00:34:31,069 --> 00:34:26,879 skeptics newsletter 832 00:34:35,430 --> 00:34:32,710 www.skeptics.com.edu 833 00:34:36,710 --> 00:34:35,440 and you too can receive every other week 834 00:34:49,510 --> 00:34:36,720 the ponderings of 835 00:34:52,790 --> 00:34:49,520 tim menden 836 00:34:55,349 --> 00:34:52,800 thursday the 4th of february 2021 837 00:34:56,550 --> 00:34:55,359 join us for sydney skeptics in the pub 838 00:34:59,030 --> 00:34:56,560 online 839 00:34:59,589 --> 00:34:59,040 we present a talk by computer scientist 840 00:35:02,710 --> 00:34:59,599 dr 841 00:35:06,069 --> 00:35:02,720 alan blair phd deep 842 00:35:10,710 --> 00:35:06,079 fake technology and computational 843 00:35:11,750 --> 00:35:10,720 creativity recent advances in artificial 844 00:35:13,750 --> 00:35:11,760 intelligence 845 00:35:14,950 --> 00:35:13,760 and computer graphics are allowing 846 00:35:17,990 --> 00:35:14,960 computers to 847 00:35:20,950 --> 00:35:18,000 write stories compose music 848 00:35:21,829 --> 00:35:20,960 and create artworks of remarkable 849 00:35:24,150 --> 00:35:21,839 quality 850 00:35:25,109 --> 00:35:24,160 and to generate videos which are so 851 00:35:27,670 --> 00:35:25,119 realistic 852 00:35:30,069 --> 00:35:27,680 that their authenticity is almost 853 00:35:32,470 --> 00:35:30,079 impossible to verify 854 00:35:33,670 --> 00:35:32,480 this talk will summarize the history and 855 00:35:39,510 --> 00:35:33,680 current status 856 00:35:44,470 --> 00:35:42,710 dr blair completed a bsc ba at the 857 00:35:48,069 --> 00:35:44,480 university of sydney 858 00:35:49,109 --> 00:35:48,079 and a phd at mit and is now working at 859 00:35:52,870 --> 00:35:49,119 the university 860 00:35:53,670 --> 00:35:52,880 of new south wales join us online via 861 00:35:57,270 --> 00:35:53,680 twitch 862 00:35:58,040 --> 00:35:57,280 7 pm sydney time thursday the 4th of 863 00:35:59,349 --> 00:35:58,050 february 864 00:36:22,630 --> 00:35:59,359 [Music] 865 00:36:24,470 --> 00:36:22,640 now it's time to dive once more into 866 00:36:25,990 --> 00:36:24,480 trove the online resource from the 867 00:36:28,150 --> 00:36:26,000 australian government 868 00:36:29,990 --> 00:36:28,160 and the national library of australia 869 00:36:31,430 --> 00:36:30,000 and over the past weeks we've been going 870 00:36:34,950 --> 00:36:31,440 through 871 00:36:35,990 --> 00:36:34,960 into the unknown a series published here 872 00:36:41,430 --> 00:36:36,000 in australia 873 00:36:43,990 --> 00:36:41,440 first in 1950 and this is the story of 874 00:36:45,270 --> 00:36:44,000 examination of claims of the paranormal 875 00:36:49,829 --> 00:36:45,280 conducted in 876 00:36:50,550 --> 00:36:49,839 the uk over the past four weeks we've 877 00:36:54,069 --> 00:36:50,560 had the 878 00:36:54,710 --> 00:36:54,079 accounts of mrs hughes who was taken 879 00:36:58,550 --> 00:36:54,720 over by 880 00:37:01,670 --> 00:36:58,560 the spirit of white feather to give her 881 00:37:04,390 --> 00:37:01,680 readings we've had mr robert dell who 882 00:37:07,430 --> 00:37:04,400 also gave some readings to the panel 883 00:37:12,230 --> 00:37:07,440 this week we have 884 00:37:15,430 --> 00:37:12,240 an australian ultra sensitive 885 00:37:17,510 --> 00:37:15,440 an australian alfred rayner of sydney 886 00:37:19,030 --> 00:37:17,520 was one of the mediums who offered to 887 00:37:22,020 --> 00:37:19,040 assist the panel 888 00:37:28,069 --> 00:37:22,030 in its investigations 889 00:37:31,750 --> 00:37:29,910 and listeners will know that in my 890 00:37:34,870 --> 00:37:31,760 opinion so far in 891 00:37:37,750 --> 00:37:34,880 reading these accounts from so long ago 892 00:37:38,550 --> 00:37:37,760 it appears that so far it's simply the 893 00:37:40,790 --> 00:37:38,560 same stock 894 00:37:42,310 --> 00:37:40,800 standard cold reading that we see even 895 00:37:46,069 --> 00:37:42,320 today 896 00:37:47,990 --> 00:37:46,079 although you can forgive the panel of 897 00:37:48,950 --> 00:37:48,000 investigators at the time for not 898 00:37:52,069 --> 00:37:48,960 knowing 899 00:37:55,750 --> 00:37:52,079 too much about cold reading 900 00:38:00,390 --> 00:37:55,760 it's really a branch of 901 00:38:03,670 --> 00:38:00,400 magic that has been written about 902 00:38:06,870 --> 00:38:03,680 in more recent times and studied and 903 00:38:08,790 --> 00:38:06,880 you can buy good textbooks on it 904 00:38:11,030 --> 00:38:08,800 and this part of the report comes from 905 00:38:13,430 --> 00:38:11,040 the color magazine the sunday sun 906 00:38:18,200 --> 00:38:13,440 supplement published on the 24th of 907 00:38:20,230 --> 00:38:18,210 september 1950. 908 00:38:23,430 --> 00:38:20,240 [Music] 909 00:38:25,670 --> 00:38:23,440 a remarkable test of the ultra 910 00:38:27,270 --> 00:38:25,680 sensitive was given on october the 20th 911 00:38:30,870 --> 00:38:27,280 1949 912 00:38:33,190 --> 00:38:30,880 by the australian medium mr alf rainer 913 00:38:35,270 --> 00:38:33,200 rayner is well known for his voluntary 914 00:38:37,030 --> 00:38:35,280 spiritualist work in sydney 915 00:38:39,589 --> 00:38:37,040 where he formed an efficient psychic 916 00:38:41,670 --> 00:38:39,599 research group the test was made in a 917 00:38:43,270 --> 00:38:41,680 private seance room at the malabone 918 00:38:45,510 --> 00:38:43,280 spiritualist association 919 00:38:47,349 --> 00:38:45,520 to which body reiner had been attached 920 00:38:51,030 --> 00:38:47,359 during part of his work 921 00:38:53,750 --> 00:38:51,040 in the united kingdom rayner is a short 922 00:38:54,470 --> 00:38:53,760 rather stocky figure who radiates 923 00:38:57,270 --> 00:38:54,480 personal 924 00:38:58,069 --> 00:38:57,280 charm he speaks with a slight australian 925 00:39:01,190 --> 00:38:58,079 accent 926 00:39:03,349 --> 00:39:01,200 and his manner is refreshingly frank 927 00:39:05,829 --> 00:39:03,359 almost at once after sitting with the 928 00:39:06,630 --> 00:39:05,839 panel he confessed that he would not be 929 00:39:10,310 --> 00:39:06,640 able to show 930 00:39:13,589 --> 00:39:10,320 much psychic evidence as he felt 931 00:39:14,550 --> 00:39:13,599 the mass mind of the members of the 932 00:39:17,349 --> 00:39:14,560 panel 933 00:39:19,270 --> 00:39:17,359 presented a barrier nevertheless he 934 00:39:19,829 --> 00:39:19,280 would attempt some delineation of the 935 00:39:23,829 --> 00:39:19,839 psychic 936 00:39:26,950 --> 00:39:23,839 aura to demonstrate the ultrasensitive 937 00:39:29,670 --> 00:39:26,960 and turn to lord amwell you can be 938 00:39:31,589 --> 00:39:29,680 extremely stubborn which makes life a 939 00:39:33,430 --> 00:39:31,599 little difficult sometimes 940 00:39:34,870 --> 00:39:33,440 and when you lose your temper it takes 941 00:39:37,910 --> 00:39:34,880 too much out of you 942 00:39:39,670 --> 00:39:37,920 i feel that even old nick wouldn't be 943 00:39:40,790 --> 00:39:39,680 able to shift you once you've made up 944 00:39:43,430 --> 00:39:40,800 your mind 945 00:39:45,349 --> 00:39:43,440 you get that from your father he was not 946 00:39:48,069 --> 00:39:45,359 quite so stout as yourself 947 00:39:49,190 --> 00:39:48,079 a shade taller he was a kindly man and 948 00:39:52,390 --> 00:39:49,200 very sensitive 949 00:39:54,870 --> 00:39:52,400 a fine man who loved the country with a 950 00:39:56,630 --> 00:39:54,880 good sense of humor your mother was a 951 00:39:58,950 --> 00:39:56,640 forceful personality 952 00:40:01,030 --> 00:39:58,960 you are more like your father your 953 00:40:05,030 --> 00:40:01,040 mother is showing me that she 954 00:40:05,589 --> 00:40:05,040 had an amazing skin she minded her own 955 00:40:07,990 --> 00:40:05,599 business 956 00:40:10,069 --> 00:40:08,000 didn't she and she would stick to a 957 00:40:11,910 --> 00:40:10,079 thing if she said so 958 00:40:14,470 --> 00:40:11,920 you had to make a lot of quite big 959 00:40:15,829 --> 00:40:14,480 decisions your mother is very proud of 960 00:40:20,069 --> 00:40:15,839 what you've done 961 00:40:21,670 --> 00:40:20,079 i want you to watch your health 962 00:40:24,470 --> 00:40:21,680 there is a little pressure that could 963 00:40:28,710 --> 00:40:24,480 affect you get a medical overhaul 964 00:40:31,670 --> 00:40:28,720 i feel you are not content to sit still 965 00:40:32,710 --> 00:40:31,680 you put everything you have got into a 966 00:40:35,510 --> 00:40:32,720 thing 967 00:40:36,390 --> 00:40:35,520 and you don't know where to leave off 968 00:40:40,390 --> 00:40:36,400 they want 969 00:40:43,430 --> 00:40:40,400 you to relax a little more lord amwell 970 00:40:44,790 --> 00:40:43,440 do you mean blood pressure i have had an 971 00:40:47,829 --> 00:40:44,800 overhaul for that 972 00:40:51,109 --> 00:40:47,839 with very favorable results 973 00:40:54,470 --> 00:40:51,119 medium you may have but 974 00:40:57,030 --> 00:40:54,480 you have a pressure on the temples 975 00:40:58,309 --> 00:40:57,040 that i want you to watch i am hearing 976 00:41:01,829 --> 00:40:58,319 the name of 977 00:41:04,550 --> 00:41:01,839 william thompson i feel there is a 978 00:41:07,109 --> 00:41:04,560 family by that name i think you have 979 00:41:10,309 --> 00:41:07,119 been connected with huge machines 980 00:41:12,790 --> 00:41:10,319 you have got on on your own bat 981 00:41:13,990 --> 00:41:12,800 your mother is very delighted with you 982 00:41:16,470 --> 00:41:14,000 have you had trouble 983 00:41:17,589 --> 00:41:16,480 with one ankle the spirit people are 984 00:41:20,710 --> 00:41:17,599 showing me 985 00:41:22,950 --> 00:41:20,720 one ankle lord amwell yes 986 00:41:25,109 --> 00:41:22,960 i sprained it can you tell me the 987 00:41:28,150 --> 00:41:25,119 occupation of my father 988 00:41:31,750 --> 00:41:28,160 medium no i am only getting 989 00:41:34,870 --> 00:41:31,760 a lot of writing medium to mr 990 00:41:37,910 --> 00:41:34,880 ainsworth have you been able to 991 00:41:42,390 --> 00:41:37,920 write things mr ainsworth 992 00:41:45,910 --> 00:41:42,400 yes medium you get quick impressions 993 00:41:48,710 --> 00:41:45,920 you have a quick active brain 994 00:41:49,510 --> 00:41:48,720 you are hypersensitive and get hurt more 995 00:41:52,870 --> 00:41:49,520 than people 996 00:41:55,109 --> 00:41:52,880 ever know you are extremely emotional 997 00:41:56,390 --> 00:41:55,119 and that intensity of nature has helped 998 00:41:59,190 --> 00:41:56,400 you in your work 999 00:42:00,950 --> 00:41:59,200 your father was an older man broader 1000 00:42:03,589 --> 00:42:00,960 across the forehead 1001 00:42:04,069 --> 00:42:03,599 he had a great sense of humor there was 1002 00:42:06,710 --> 00:42:04,079 only 1003 00:42:08,710 --> 00:42:06,720 a very short illness before he went over 1004 00:42:11,030 --> 00:42:08,720 was there something the matter with his 1005 00:42:11,990 --> 00:42:11,040 shoulder something that may have made 1006 00:42:14,309 --> 00:42:12,000 one shoulder 1007 00:42:15,190 --> 00:42:14,319 droop a bit but i feel he was able to 1008 00:42:18,150 --> 00:42:15,200 get about 1009 00:42:19,109 --> 00:42:18,160 considerably reina turned to another 1010 00:42:21,109 --> 00:42:19,119 sitter 1011 00:42:22,150 --> 00:42:21,119 have you had a good deal of controlling 1012 00:42:24,550 --> 00:42:22,160 to do 1013 00:42:25,910 --> 00:42:24,560 i feel you have everything at your 1014 00:42:29,109 --> 00:42:25,920 fingertips 1015 00:42:31,349 --> 00:42:29,119 you were born to lead you will get there 1016 00:42:32,870 --> 00:42:31,359 in fact you have succeeded and you are 1017 00:42:33,750 --> 00:42:32,880 not going to let it slip out of your 1018 00:42:37,270 --> 00:42:33,760 fingers 1019 00:42:38,550 --> 00:42:37,280 i feel you still keep your finger on the 1020 00:42:41,589 --> 00:42:38,560 pulse of things 1021 00:42:43,030 --> 00:42:41,599 small and large can you influence 1022 00:42:45,829 --> 00:42:43,040 politics 1023 00:42:46,630 --> 00:42:45,839 have you done a good deal of writing 1024 00:42:50,069 --> 00:42:46,640 sitter 1025 00:42:52,870 --> 00:42:50,079 i have been associated with it medium 1026 00:42:53,430 --> 00:42:52,880 you have to decide whether it should 1027 00:42:56,390 --> 00:42:53,440 come 1028 00:42:57,190 --> 00:42:56,400 in front of the public your father was 1029 00:43:00,470 --> 00:42:57,200 considered 1030 00:43:03,829 --> 00:43:00,480 an extremely handsome man he had a 1031 00:43:07,829 --> 00:43:03,839 whimsical smile he is near you a great 1032 00:43:10,630 --> 00:43:07,839 deal more than one who is alive 1033 00:43:11,990 --> 00:43:10,640 he had a very quick painful illness 1034 00:43:15,030 --> 00:43:12,000 failed quickly 1035 00:43:19,349 --> 00:43:15,040 i am hearing the name of joseph 1036 00:43:22,309 --> 00:43:19,359 and king not in the family 1037 00:43:23,430 --> 00:43:22,319 it's a man who looked after machinery i 1038 00:43:27,030 --> 00:43:23,440 feel he was a 1039 00:43:30,069 --> 00:43:27,040 watchman he puts his hand on your head 1040 00:43:31,030 --> 00:43:30,079 could you sing when you were young he is 1041 00:43:34,390 --> 00:43:31,040 talking of it 1042 00:43:38,069 --> 00:43:34,400 your father is not too well sitter 1043 00:43:41,190 --> 00:43:38,079 i haven't seen him for years medium 1044 00:43:42,550 --> 00:43:41,200 your mother was a fairly tall woman i am 1045 00:43:46,309 --> 00:43:42,560 getting 1046 00:43:48,950 --> 00:43:46,319 anne it's your daughter 1047 00:43:50,390 --> 00:43:48,960 you are very pleased with her there is a 1048 00:43:53,670 --> 00:43:50,400 great harmony between 1049 00:43:57,030 --> 00:43:53,680 the two of you is she married i feel 1050 00:44:01,109 --> 00:43:57,040 she is about 18. sitter 1051 00:44:04,390 --> 00:44:01,119 17 medium she loves the outdoor life 1052 00:44:05,349 --> 00:44:04,400 and the open air i am also getting a 1053 00:44:09,910 --> 00:44:05,359 very old 1054 00:44:11,750 --> 00:44:09,920 lady named sarah you also have a son 1055 00:44:13,109 --> 00:44:11,760 he is a very different type from the 1056 00:44:15,589 --> 00:44:13,119 girl 1057 00:44:17,270 --> 00:44:15,599 you cannot force him he doesn't want to 1058 00:44:19,430 --> 00:44:17,280 do what you have done 1059 00:44:22,230 --> 00:44:19,440 don't force him into it the spirit 1060 00:44:25,430 --> 00:44:22,240 people are very pleased indeed with 1061 00:44:28,550 --> 00:44:25,440 that boy he must do creative work 1062 00:44:31,109 --> 00:44:28,560 he is a wonderful lad two canon 1063 00:44:32,790 --> 00:44:31,119 knight you have an amazing power in your 1064 00:44:36,630 --> 00:44:32,800 fingertips for healing 1065 00:44:39,990 --> 00:44:36,640 you are vibrating purple rays 1066 00:44:41,190 --> 00:44:40,000 of healing you can shake off a cold or a 1067 00:44:44,309 --> 00:44:41,200 flu at once 1068 00:44:47,750 --> 00:44:44,319 you have wonderful recuperative powers 1069 00:44:48,150 --> 00:44:47,760 i feel you wouldn't rush a thing cannon 1070 00:44:51,670 --> 00:44:48,160 knight 1071 00:44:53,990 --> 00:44:51,680 that is true medium it takes a lot to 1072 00:44:55,990 --> 00:44:54,000 make you even raise your voice 1073 00:44:57,589 --> 00:44:56,000 the spirit people are very pleased with 1074 00:45:00,950 --> 00:44:57,599 the balance you have shown 1075 00:45:04,230 --> 00:45:00,960 i want to say you have made a good 1076 00:45:07,190 --> 00:45:04,240 job of it you get your power 1077 00:45:09,510 --> 00:45:07,200 more from your mother than your father 1078 00:45:12,710 --> 00:45:09,520 he was an extremely quiet man 1079 00:45:14,470 --> 00:45:12,720 but i can hear him laughing he had a 1080 00:45:17,670 --> 00:45:14,480 lovely laugh 1081 00:45:18,550 --> 00:45:17,680 do you link with any ministers i can see 1082 00:45:21,510 --> 00:45:18,560 the collar 1083 00:45:23,510 --> 00:45:21,520 back to front cannon knight was not 1084 00:45:26,710 --> 00:45:23,520 wearing a clerical collar 1085 00:45:28,390 --> 00:45:26,720 have you injured your knee i am getting 1086 00:45:32,230 --> 00:45:28,400 the name of 1087 00:45:35,109 --> 00:45:32,240 margaret i feel someone has had a 1088 00:45:36,150 --> 00:45:35,119 very nasty injury to the leg it links up 1089 00:45:39,750 --> 00:45:36,160 with your wife 1090 00:45:42,550 --> 00:45:39,760 perhaps lord amwell it would be 1091 00:45:43,430 --> 00:45:42,560 very evidential if i could get what i 1092 00:45:48,230 --> 00:45:43,440 want 1093 00:45:50,870 --> 00:45:48,240 connection with a name 1094 00:45:52,309 --> 00:45:50,880 and i haven't got it yet i want to get 1095 00:45:55,510 --> 00:45:52,319 to the mechanics of it 1096 00:45:58,710 --> 00:45:55,520 it is rather baffling medium you 1097 00:46:00,950 --> 00:45:58,720 are more likely to get what you want if 1098 00:46:02,470 --> 00:46:00,960 you sit with a medium alone 1099 00:46:04,630 --> 00:46:02,480 there are not so many different 1100 00:46:07,829 --> 00:46:04,640 vibrations you have 1101 00:46:11,030 --> 00:46:07,839 all been very kind i would rather have a 1102 00:46:14,309 --> 00:46:11,040 critical group than a gullible group 1103 00:46:15,349 --> 00:46:14,319 mr ainsworth how much do you get from 1104 00:46:19,109 --> 00:46:15,359 spirit 1105 00:46:22,309 --> 00:46:19,119 and how much from our own minds medium 1106 00:46:25,510 --> 00:46:22,319 if you mean telepathy i have tried it 1107 00:46:27,030 --> 00:46:25,520 and i can't do it i get your characters 1108 00:46:29,349 --> 00:46:27,040 from your auras 1109 00:46:30,150 --> 00:46:29,359 lord amwell when does a child stop 1110 00:46:33,190 --> 00:46:30,160 growing 1111 00:46:34,870 --> 00:46:33,200 in the spirit world medium when they 1112 00:46:37,109 --> 00:46:34,880 have reached maturity 1113 00:46:39,750 --> 00:46:37,119 actual age only belongs to your physical 1114 00:46:40,870 --> 00:46:39,760 body if a man is old when he passes he 1115 00:46:43,829 --> 00:46:40,880 progresses 1116 00:46:46,069 --> 00:46:43,839 and the spirit revives you would be 1117 00:46:47,030 --> 00:46:46,079 about 25 years old at the best time of 1118 00:46:49,510 --> 00:46:47,040 your life 1119 00:46:51,190 --> 00:46:49,520 children are still guided to a certain 1120 00:46:54,150 --> 00:46:51,200 extent by their parents 1121 00:46:55,990 --> 00:46:54,160 who are still alive the medium told of 1122 00:46:57,829 --> 00:46:56,000 an incident in australia 1123 00:47:00,150 --> 00:46:57,839 during the war when there was some 1124 00:47:00,790 --> 00:47:00,160 public rejoicing when allied troops were 1125 00:47:03,109 --> 00:47:00,800 there 1126 00:47:04,470 --> 00:47:03,119 he saw a drunken sailor go into the 1127 00:47:07,510 --> 00:47:04,480 middle of the road 1128 00:47:09,430 --> 00:47:07,520 and attempt to board a tram there were a 1129 00:47:10,230 --> 00:47:09,440 man and a woman standing in the road 1130 00:47:12,710 --> 00:47:10,240 also 1131 00:47:13,510 --> 00:47:12,720 he fully expected them to be hit by the 1132 00:47:16,390 --> 00:47:13,520 traffic 1133 00:47:16,950 --> 00:47:16,400 but they stood unharmed the sailor was 1134 00:47:19,750 --> 00:47:16,960 hit 1135 00:47:21,349 --> 00:47:19,760 and soon a crowd gathered around him the 1136 00:47:23,670 --> 00:47:21,359 couple who had been standing 1137 00:47:24,790 --> 00:47:23,680 surrounded by traffic went through the 1138 00:47:27,750 --> 00:47:24,800 crowd and led 1139 00:47:29,829 --> 00:47:27,760 away the spirit of the sailor who had 1140 00:47:32,549 --> 00:47:29,839 died in the roadway 1141 00:47:33,750 --> 00:47:32,559 mr raynor realized that he had been 1142 00:47:35,990 --> 00:47:33,760 seeing 1143 00:47:37,510 --> 00:47:36,000 with the clearest clairvoyance he had 1144 00:47:40,630 --> 00:47:37,520 ever experienced 1145 00:47:44,230 --> 00:47:40,640 the loved ones come ready and waiting 1146 00:47:46,870 --> 00:47:44,240 for the accident which was to take place 1147 00:47:48,230 --> 00:47:46,880 and a little aside from me i wonder if 1148 00:47:51,670 --> 00:47:48,240 it be possible 1149 00:47:52,950 --> 00:47:51,680 to go through the archives the newspaper 1150 00:47:56,470 --> 00:47:52,960 reports of the day 1151 00:48:01,270 --> 00:47:56,480 and find a report of that incident 1152 00:48:04,390 --> 00:48:01,280 where a sailor was killed in the roadway 1153 00:48:07,670 --> 00:48:04,400 maybe maybe not we read on 1154 00:48:09,109 --> 00:48:07,680 panels report lord amwell a high 1155 00:48:11,589 --> 00:48:09,119 percentage of hits 1156 00:48:13,270 --> 00:48:11,599 i can confirm the personal details about 1157 00:48:16,390 --> 00:48:13,280 one other person present 1158 00:48:19,430 --> 00:48:16,400 altogether an interesting sitting canon 1159 00:48:22,309 --> 00:48:19,440 knight a pleasant cheerful personality 1160 00:48:23,670 --> 00:48:22,319 typically australian gave a remarkable 1161 00:48:26,470 --> 00:48:23,680 account of some of his 1162 00:48:27,109 --> 00:48:26,480 own powers but we cannot check accounts 1163 00:48:30,549 --> 00:48:27,119 of what he 1164 00:48:32,150 --> 00:48:30,559 says he saw in his own country he sat 1165 00:48:34,870 --> 00:48:32,160 without being in trance 1166 00:48:35,589 --> 00:48:34,880 and drew in most of those present there 1167 00:48:37,910 --> 00:48:35,599 were many 1168 00:48:38,790 --> 00:48:37,920 statements made about those present 1169 00:48:42,309 --> 00:48:38,800 which were 1170 00:48:44,470 --> 00:48:42,319 clearly untrue but he said something 1171 00:48:46,470 --> 00:48:44,480 or other about most people which was 1172 00:48:48,549 --> 00:48:46,480 more or less on the mark 1173 00:48:50,309 --> 00:48:48,559 his character reading was interesting 1174 00:48:52,870 --> 00:48:50,319 and might have been made by 1175 00:48:54,390 --> 00:48:52,880 anyone able to size up people by their 1176 00:48:55,770 --> 00:48:54,400 general impression 1177 00:48:58,309 --> 00:48:55,780 we all do a bit of this 1178 00:49:00,950 --> 00:48:58,319 [Music] 1179 00:49:01,990 --> 00:49:00,960 and we'll leave it there on that page 1180 00:49:06,150 --> 00:49:02,000 it's only a one page 1181 00:49:06,950 --> 00:49:06,160 report from the 24th of september and it 1182 00:49:09,270 --> 00:49:06,960 says 1183 00:49:10,470 --> 00:49:09,280 a little box at the bottom of the page 1184 00:49:16,470 --> 00:49:10,480 next sunday 1185 00:49:18,230 --> 00:49:16,480 a spirit healer demonstrates his powers 1186 00:49:21,109 --> 00:49:18,240 and it's interesting to note also on 1187 00:49:23,670 --> 00:49:21,119 this page two advertisements 1188 00:49:24,870 --> 00:49:23,680 one is for a finishing school for young 1189 00:49:27,670 --> 00:49:24,880 women 1190 00:49:30,790 --> 00:49:27,680 and the other says five doctors prove 1191 00:49:33,270 --> 00:49:30,800 this plan breaks the laxative habit 1192 00:49:34,790 --> 00:49:33,280 if you take laxatives regularly here's 1193 00:49:37,670 --> 00:49:34,800 how you can stop 1194 00:49:38,710 --> 00:49:37,680 because five new york doctors now have 1195 00:49:41,510 --> 00:49:38,720 proved 1196 00:49:43,589 --> 00:49:41,520 you may break the laxative habit and 1197 00:49:47,750 --> 00:49:43,599 establish your natural powers of 1198 00:49:51,589 --> 00:49:47,760 regularity 83 of the cases tested did it 1199 00:49:54,790 --> 00:49:51,599 so can you stop taking whatever you're 1200 00:49:57,510 --> 00:49:54,800 taking now instead 1201 00:49:58,230 --> 00:49:57,520 every night for one week take two 1202 00:50:01,829 --> 00:49:58,240 carter's 1203 00:50:05,349 --> 00:50:01,839 little liver pills second week 1204 00:50:06,870 --> 00:50:05,359 one each night third week one every 1205 00:50:10,150 --> 00:50:06,880 other night 1206 00:50:12,790 --> 00:50:10,160 then nothing every day drink 1207 00:50:14,069 --> 00:50:12,800 eight glasses of water oh that's 1208 00:50:16,390 --> 00:50:14,079 interesting 1209 00:50:17,829 --> 00:50:16,400 even back in 1950 there was something 1210 00:50:20,870 --> 00:50:17,839 about drinking eight 1211 00:50:22,470 --> 00:50:20,880 glasses of water every day drink eight 1212 00:50:26,390 --> 00:50:22,480 glasses of water 1213 00:50:30,549 --> 00:50:26,400 set a determined time for regularity 1214 00:50:33,990 --> 00:50:30,559 carter's little liver pills unblock 1215 00:50:36,069 --> 00:50:34,000 the lower digestive tract and from 1216 00:50:37,990 --> 00:50:36,079 there it's getting difficult to read 1217 00:50:39,910 --> 00:50:38,000 because the writing is small and 1218 00:50:41,030 --> 00:50:39,920 it's a little bit uh obscured but i'll 1219 00:50:44,069 --> 00:50:41,040 keep going 1220 00:50:47,670 --> 00:50:44,079 and from then on let it 1221 00:50:50,470 --> 00:50:47,680 make use of its own natural powers 1222 00:50:51,510 --> 00:50:50,480 further carter's little liver pills 1223 00:50:54,870 --> 00:50:51,520 contain no 1224 00:50:57,670 --> 00:50:54,880 habit-forming drugs get carter's 1225 00:51:00,740 --> 00:50:57,680 little liver pills at any chemist or 1226 00:51:05,829 --> 00:51:03,430 [Music] 1227 00:51:06,950 --> 00:51:05,839 and so next week we have part six for 1228 00:51:09,349 --> 00:51:06,960 our purposes 1229 00:51:11,589 --> 00:51:09,359 of into the unknown a frank report on 1230 00:51:13,829 --> 00:51:11,599 the riddle of spiritualism 1231 00:51:15,030 --> 00:51:13,839 and to whet your appetite the opening 1232 00:51:17,910 --> 00:51:15,040 paragraph says 1233 00:51:18,870 --> 00:51:17,920 healing of the sick by the laying on of 1234 00:51:21,750 --> 00:51:18,880 hands 1235 00:51:23,750 --> 00:51:21,760 or making of psychic passes is not 1236 00:51:26,150 --> 00:51:23,760 regarded by all psychic workers 1237 00:51:27,030 --> 00:51:26,160 as a legitimate part of what can 1238 00:51:34,829 --> 00:51:27,040 strictly 1239 00:51:39,670 --> 00:51:36,549 spiritualism 1240 00:51:42,950 --> 00:51:39,680 so join us next week for this account of 1241 00:51:45,430 --> 00:51:42,960 a spiritualist healer and this will come 1242 00:51:48,870 --> 00:51:45,440 to us of course from the color magazine 1243 00:51:50,790 --> 00:51:48,880 although it's not in color because it's 1244 00:51:52,790 --> 00:51:50,800 strictly black and white copies i've got 1245 00:51:55,109 --> 00:51:52,800 access to color magazine 1246 00:51:57,190 --> 00:51:55,119 sunday sun supplement and this time 1247 00:51:58,350 --> 00:51:57,200 it'll be from the 1st of october 1248 00:52:01,430 --> 00:51:58,360 1950 1249 00:52:05,910 --> 00:52:04,390 and of course if you can't wait to find 1250 00:52:07,829 --> 00:52:05,920 out what happens 1251 00:52:11,349 --> 00:52:07,839 you can read this account for yourself 1252 00:52:13,270 --> 00:52:11,359 by visiting trove trove.nla.gov dot a u 1253 00:52:16,870 --> 00:52:13,280 links in this week's show notes 1254 00:52:20,470 --> 00:52:16,880 and i'm sure if you run a search for 1255 00:52:40,890 --> 00:52:20,480 into the unknown you will find 1256 00:52:44,069 --> 00:52:42,470 [Applause] 1257 00:52:46,870 --> 00:52:44,079 thank you for listening to the skeptic 1258 00:52:48,870 --> 00:52:46,880 zone and as you would have heard in the 1259 00:52:51,430 --> 00:52:48,880 show this week we have skeptics in the 1260 00:52:53,829 --> 00:52:51,440 pub online from sydney australia 1261 00:52:54,870 --> 00:52:53,839 i hope you can join us for that later on 1262 00:52:57,349 --> 00:52:54,880 in the week 1263 00:53:01,750 --> 00:52:57,359 no matter where you are in the world and 1264 00:53:04,150 --> 00:53:01,760 if you go to www.maynia 1265 00:53:05,109 --> 00:53:04,160 if you haven't seen it already you can 1266 00:53:08,150 --> 00:53:05,119 enjoy the 1267 00:53:09,990 --> 00:53:08,160 latest maynards quiz 1268 00:53:11,510 --> 00:53:10,000 i helped maynard produce a couple of 1269 00:53:12,950 --> 00:53:11,520 weeks ago 1270 00:53:15,430 --> 00:53:12,960 thank you to those people who've just 1271 00:53:18,670 --> 00:53:15,440 come on board to help sponsor the show 1272 00:53:19,829 --> 00:53:18,680 at patreon or paypal at 1273 00:53:22,309 --> 00:53:19,839 www.skepticzone.tv 1274 00:53:23,589 --> 00:53:22,319 just click the link you'll see the link 1275 00:53:25,270 --> 00:53:23,599 on the page 1276 00:53:27,589 --> 00:53:25,280 and without your support of course there 1277 00:53:30,069 --> 00:53:27,599 would be no skeptic zone 1278 00:53:31,190 --> 00:53:30,079 oh and uh thank you to lara benam for 1279 00:53:33,109 --> 00:53:31,200 taking part 1280 00:53:36,710 --> 00:53:33,119 with maynard and michelle biggesmar in 1281 00:53:39,990 --> 00:53:36,720 the latest uh skeptical godmother fairy 1282 00:53:41,109 --> 00:53:40,000 uh sketch on next week's show more from 1283 00:53:44,390 --> 00:53:41,119 our continuing 1284 00:53:47,109 --> 00:53:44,400 series from trove all those years ago 1285 00:53:48,549 --> 00:53:47,119 testing psychics in the 1950s more 1286 00:53:49,910 --> 00:53:48,559 logical fallacies with michelle 1287 00:53:52,549 --> 00:53:49,920 bickersma 1288 00:53:53,349 --> 00:53:52,559 and as i cannot peer into the future 1289 00:53:55,829 --> 00:53:53,359 we'll all 1290 00:53:56,950 --> 00:53:55,839 just have to wait to see what comes up 1291 00:53:59,270 --> 00:53:56,960 but for this week 1292 00:54:05,270 --> 00:53:59,280 this is richard saunders signing off 1293 00:54:08,470 --> 00:54:07,030 you've been listening to the skeptic 1294 00:54:11,630 --> 00:54:08,480 zone podcast 1295 00:54:13,030 --> 00:54:11,640 please visit our website at 1296 00:54:16,150 --> 00:54:13,040 www.skepticzone.tv 1297 00:54:18,150 --> 00:54:16,160 for show notes contacts and to access 1298 00:54:21,670 --> 00:54:18,160 the back catalog of episodes 1299 00:54:23,670 --> 00:54:21,680 going back to 2008. you can follow the 1300 00:54:27,190 --> 00:54:23,680 skeptic zone podcast on twitter 1301 00:54:30,710 --> 00:54:27,200 at skepticzone visit our facebook page 1302 00:54:32,069 --> 00:54:30,720 or leave a review on itunes you can also 1303 00:54:35,349 --> 00:54:32,079 support the skeptic zone 1304 00:54:36,069 --> 00:54:35,359 via patreon or paypal the skeptic zone 1305 00:54:38,950 --> 00:54:36,079 podcast 1306 00:54:40,789 --> 00:54:38,960 is an independent production the views 1307 00:54:41,190 --> 00:54:40,799 and opinions expressed on the skeptic 1308 00:54:43,190 --> 00:54:41,200 zone 1309 00:54:45,109 --> 00:54:43,200 are not necessarily those of australian 1310 00:54:59,109 --> 00:54:45,119 skeptics or any other 1311 00:54:59,119 --> 00:55:04,069 hello to where's my coffee 1312 00:55:06,950 --> 00:55:05,349 oh that's better hello to all those 1313 00:55:08,870 --> 00:55:06,960 people who listen after the music the 1314 00:55:12,390 --> 00:55:08,880 afterthoughts for the dice rolling 1315 00:55:13,990 --> 00:55:12,400 segment where i have a ten sided die 1316 00:55:18,069 --> 00:55:14,000 here 1317 00:55:21,589 --> 00:55:18,079 very nice sort of translucent blue 1318 00:55:23,030 --> 00:55:21,599 i have quite a collection 1319 00:55:24,789 --> 00:55:23,040 and i hope to give them away someday 1320 00:55:28,150 --> 00:55:24,799 when i see people once again 1321 00:55:29,270 --> 00:55:28,160 when we can meet in public nevertheless 1322 00:55:30,710 --> 00:55:29,280 here we go so 1323 00:55:32,470 --> 00:55:30,720 it's up to you if you haven't heard this 1324 00:55:35,589 --> 00:55:32,480 part of the show before 1325 00:55:38,789 --> 00:55:35,599 use your psychic powers 1326 00:55:41,109 --> 00:55:38,799 or whatever powers you want and see if 1327 00:55:44,230 --> 00:55:41,119 you can predict what number comes up 1328 00:55:45,829 --> 00:55:44,240 i'll roll it three times i always get my 1329 00:55:48,549 --> 00:55:45,839 special 1330 00:55:49,430 --> 00:55:48,559 limited edition skeptic zone pen ready 1331 00:55:53,109 --> 00:55:49,440 here it is 1332 00:55:56,789 --> 00:55:53,119 so limited it's just a pen 1333 00:56:00,950 --> 00:55:56,799 okay first one first number 1334 00:56:01,750 --> 00:56:00,960 out of ten five there you are susan 1335 00:56:04,150 --> 00:56:01,760 gerbic 1336 00:56:05,750 --> 00:56:04,160 who listens very closely for the number 1337 00:56:09,670 --> 00:56:05,760 five there's one for you 1338 00:56:13,750 --> 00:56:12,950 not five this time eight eight is our 1339 00:56:18,549 --> 00:56:13,760 number and 1340 00:56:18,559 --> 00:56:23,349 where is it oh here it is it's a nine 1341 00:56:29,349 --> 00:56:27,349 five eight and nine 1342 00:56:31,510 --> 00:56:29,359 and this week's supplementary so you get 1343 00:56:35,750 --> 00:56:31,520 one more